November 2023
Complete authored posts and demonstrable self-threads.
I periodically re-post the GBD, so somebody can explain how it's different to our national Covid strategy. (I find them to be identical.) And also to explain why a left-leaning government is using a free market think tank's one-pager, instead of public health procedures. #auspol https://t.co/6BtvTSA6zY
The UK Covid inquiry is vital to show at last that politicians were actively undermining and ignoring basics of public health. Millions have died. You or I would be in prison for the rest of our lives. https://t.co/MpIU90f5PR
A measure of how much Oz politicians have neutered our public administration is that the UK Covid Inquiry, which is extremely embarrassing to the ruling Tory Party, was commissioned BY the Tory Party. We're very unlikely to get anything as rigorous here. https://t.co/OQwsuVTnww
At face value libertarians seem to be anti-institutions. But the origin of this movement is Church v State. They want no *secular* institutions. Their ‘small government’ push is a Big Church push. Billy Graham et al did some of the foundational strategy work. https://t.co/h8p1Vjj1iE
“We know that it does not take everyone on Earth to bring justice and peace, but only a small, determined group who will not give up during the first, second, or hundredth gale.” Clarissa Pinkola Estes
You have to love the battle. To inject humour and intelligence into it. To reject the false promises of diversionary ‘fun’ culture, that try to keep you a teenager your whole life. Travel, recreation, good ‘markets’ for the economy. Passion, not fun. That’s a true adult life.
Nearly half a century later. From a time when adult problems got adult-level analysis, rather than hysterical team sports posturing. https://t.co/mDDxkjUIwT
An important question remains whether Long Covid is really just an extended acute injury after infection. Chronic infection may be a qualitatively different thing. People who developed MS from EBV didn't have 'Long Herpes' at the time of initial infection, I suspect?
Martin Seligman worked on a concept of learned helplessness from the late 1960s. Where people who are exposed to adverse things over a prolonged period gradually learn to not respond, they become helpless. This is exactly the state 'living with the virus' is intended to produce. https://t.co/QOgBd7yCi4
I’m much, much less worried about AI than I am about the planet being run by people, elected using popularity as the only test of competence and integrity. https://t.co/3e0XDI0PMU
Happening in towns all over Australia. A symptom of a continent at a tipping point, and a nation without a clue how to live in its own land. Why it mostly voted No, because ignorance is bliss. https://t.co/q7LLPQXbkM
This is how the pandemic was privatised. You drive a public virus deep into private homes, to keep ‘the economy’ running. The people you then can’t protect are your own family. It’s an obscene violation, and with bitter irony creates much greater transmission into the community. https://t.co/N9kDfFfJvI
I’m not seeing any platform generating the power old Twitter had to help shape public debate. The minute it began to have an impact, the billionaire class bought it and shut it down. They invented social media to make money and promote libertarian politics. /1
No obstruction to either aim will be tolerated. These platforms feed off the social destruction they largely create, they monetise the millions living in fractured societies who flee here to try to regroup. I will always argue to turn social media off, entirely. /2
Because socially and culturally its model is an abomination . An exponential machine to corrode the basics of all civil society in history. It seems so warm and fuzzy, because it allows ordinary people to connect and share information. The con is seductive. /3
It’s a con because people connecting and sharing anything IS what a society has always been. And if you do that while at the same time severing the connections those people have to the society outside social media, suddenly your society IS social media. /4
All of its institutions, developed over millennia, the emergent regulation of these shared interactions based on historical suffering and wisdom, are stripped away in an instant, replaced by an economy of likes. Popularity. Suddenly everybody is an expert in everything. /5
Suddenly anybody who can mobilise enough likes can do anything they want, no matter how vile and anti-social. They can become President of the United States, and then set their followers to work sacking the US parliament. They can demolish action against climate change. /6
They can cripple action against a pandemic, generating lunatic fantasies of ‘living with’ existential emergencies. If they’re popular, it’s all allowable. Nothing can stand in its way. We don’t see it, and so it will destroy us. High school popularity culture. /7
That’s all these platforms are. They perpetuate that high school culture deep into adult life, to all ages. If you feel the world has gone mad because the most brain dead bullies can get away with anything, it’s because that’s what high school was like. /8
It’s the same culture, which through these platforms is now increasingly our entire culture. And even worse, because there aren’t even any teachers or other structures to moderate the damage. It’s pure, unadulterated popularity culture. Not capitalism, not Left or Right. /9
Populism is sweeping all of those stupid team sports distinctions away, and at an accelerating rate. Only what is popular has currency. Politicians, given authority by our older popularity platforms - elections - are increasingly just roadkill to social media tsunamis. /end
The contrast between the superlatively good Andy Park on RN Drive and the increasingly tedious woke-gotcha journalism of RN Breakfast is stronger every day. I hate the word ‘woke’, but by woke-gotcha I mean focused only on social media trends. Park is nuanced, funny, smart. https://t.co/fLNdIUuot3
We're sadly relatively close to a time when there will be no living Beatles, Paul and Ringo now both into their 80s. Why I think there's a lot more meaning to this socially and culturally than is often said. /1 https://t.co/yshh7YOhfn
Yes Starr and McCartney both use modern techniques to look younger, like hair dyes, possibly some cosmetic surgery, who knows. That's helped to create an impression that the Beatles era never really ended. That they're still a major force in modern culture (and they are). BUT. /2
The much bigger reason this continuity exists is that in many ways they took the culture along with them. The social and cultural explosion that was Beatlemania transformed all culture. It was a key milestone in the transformation of adult into adolescent culture. /3
Beatlemania wasn't just a very popular pop/rock band. It was a cultural shift. Music mobilised the masses in new ways. Suddenly rock stars were dominant players in modern social life. This was the 1960s, the famous 'counter-cultural revolution'. /4 https://t.co/CYzfmyFUoB
Freddie Mercury was once asked about some vexed political issue. He shrugged and said something like 'I dunno, I'm a musician'. That's a window into the culture that we've lived in since Beatlemania, that anybody would even ask a rock star about politics. /5
Mercury was rare in many ways, including his total lack of interest in politics. Historically that represents extreme sanity. But not in the era of Beatles culture, where rock stars are granted more credence than elected politicians. /6
And this is where no living Beatles will represent something a bit profound, maybe. It's quite difficult to imagine them not being here, because everything about our culture now discourages any meaning being given to the passage of time. Adolescence is immortal in outlook. /7
Look at that pic again. While other famous pre-Beatles musicians like Louis Armstrong passed on, it seemed the inevitable passage of time, sad but part of the natural order of things. But a world without a Beatle feels very different. Like how can this be? /8 https://t.co/X7zH2F5Aem
Many are flocking to the current McCartney tour for this very reason, to try to get that last physical connection with a Beatle. They're icons for an entire way of life, a culture. An adolescent culture. Now all culture, increasingly. /9 https://t.co/8iil1Ms85e
Lennon once joked The Beatles were bigger than Jesus, and while he copped a lot for saying it, he was making a social and cultural point. That they were invested with an importance and meaning far beyond what they were actually doing. They were/are musicians. /10
They'd stumbled into a profound cultural shift that even today we're mostly not seeing. The one I Tweet about all the time, the replacement of life as a series of stages of maturation, from infant to child, to adolescent to adult, with permanent adolescence. /end
The entire pandemic to date could be just the on-ramp. If you were a pathogen, imagine your host suddenly capitulating to continuous, repeated infection, and even devising methods to make that initial entry-level infection less harmful, so you can go on to accumulate many more. https://t.co/BtR79Enqou
It’s really beyond me why anybody would still buy a full-ICE car. If you have range anxiety, buy a hybrid. They perform better, use half the fuel, and cost not much more, quickly amortised in saved fuel. Fuel prices magnify these advantages enormously more every day.
All of our culture and politics is shifting to social media. Either the platforms need heavy regulation to reflect this shift, or they need to be turned off. You don’t hand over the keys to society to a handful of deranged billionaires. https://t.co/jogSDJ1h4k
I see the usual ‘nothing to see here’ minimisers have been trotted out for the current wave, repeating the same ‘it doesn’t appear to be severe’ gibberish. Maybe people are just in hospital for the great food. https://t.co/xuuEbxoQyH
Australia has had 2 bad flu years in the past decade. Some compare Covid with flu. Covid is killing more people every quarter right now than a bad flu year. Like 4-5 bad flu years, every year. Minimisers say deaths will decline. As we run out of older Australians to kill, maybe. https://t.co/nQKew84z6R
Households should be the focus of any action for ‘the economy’. There are 3.4 million household solar systems now, the single largest generating capacity in the grid. That number is projected to double by 2032. That capacity is already smashing coal plants. /1 https://t.co/2tpthPKDr6
The coal plants have to cycle up and down daily to cope with the tsunami of household solar. That stresses them mechanically, and they were already mostly falling apart. A distributed energy system is destroying an old centralised system, and not just technologically. /2
An economy runs on energy, and the politics of energy has been the politics of our economies for over a century. Being utterly dependent on fossil fuel resources, concentrated in relatively tiny locations globally, and providing dramatic imbalances across the world. /3
That old energy world is funding and organising much of the resistance to climate action, particularly to renewable energy. Not just because renewables will send it bankrupt, but because they could force a very different set of power relations globally and inside societies. /4
The ALP for example has been struggling to retrofit that old energy infrastructure with renewables, without treading too much on the toes of the powerful interests who still profit from it. That game is already lost. Households are smashing the old economy. That 2025 point? /5 https://t.co/5xa9vBohm0
That’s the point the existing grid could technically collapse, the minimum demand below which the existing grid can’t operate. The complete reversal of years of bullshit spin from politicians about ‘supply’ and ‘baseload power’. Supply is not the problem. Demand is. /6 https://t.co/UUxkk6LPlm
Nobody wants power from the grid during the daytime now. Prices have been negative for ages. But the old coal clunkers absolutely need to run all the time, day and night, it’s prohibitively expensive and damaging to turn them on and off. And it breaks them. /7
If the ALP want quick wins, re-focus on households. Fill the grid with storage batteries, that are much cheaper and faster than huge grid-level power stations and thousands of kilometres of new power lines. Support the work households have already been doing, for years. /8
This will also drive prices down for households much faster than waiting years to build new transmission lines and mega power plants. Any of those needed can follow afterwards. South Australia is projected to be full-renewables by 2026, day and night. It hit 99.8% already. /end
The West outsourced much of its capacity to do anything useful at all. It now fights pointless ideology culture wars on social media, while the material reality of the modern world happens somewhere else. https://t.co/eGsGQPvLni
About a decade ago, Kodak went bankrupt. It invented digital photography, but decided to stick with film. Like current carmakers clinging to ICEs while Asian makers dominate EVs. The West is stalled fighting fake wars on social media, while reality is built somewhere else. https://t.co/PhjVfJ61IS
This seems like culture warriors stirring up already muddy and bloody waters. Everything apparently needs to have a 'side', team sports culture. Maybe the way forward here isn't apportioning blame to one or other side, it's to find root causes. https://t.co/RDFWilsT19
This increasing (uninvited) freelancing by failed politicians on the world stage is often at the behest of think tanks they're part of, showing where their real loyalties were even when they were in power. Privatisation of governance. https://t.co/CHkhpaPN5C
Church v State remains the engine room of our history. It never went away, and while I have zero skin in this battle, in purely historical terms secular States are not really a success. So it's not a simple Good v Evil fight. https://t.co/F3UbKkaO6f
For the first 20-25 years after petrol and diesel cars were introduced, there were no service stations. You had to buy the fuel in a tin at the shop, like milk, and lug it home. Worth remembering with the hysteria about shortage of charging points for EVs.
I might make a submission that says 'shouldn't we do this when the pandemic is over?' https://t.co/dZXlpR0esP
This is popularity land, a tiny, thin veneer on top of reality. Meaningless, based on whims, fads and fashions. Who cares which team is winning. None of it has any necessary relationship to anything that actually needs doing. https://t.co/siiTtP20Ee
The US EPA has an excellent short debunking of the most common anti-EV myths. Link in alt text. https://t.co/zLeP5lRzlB
I wonder if it will include defining a pandemic as how many spare beds you have in hospitals. https://t.co/TOKCxteU4m
The dog whistling of this inquiry is about the ‘role of the States’. Code for ignoring the actual function of federalism and public health. It’s conservative anger that any ‘lockdowns’ were allowed at all, when their beloved National Cabinet failed to suppress State independence. https://t.co/rkDyolINxt
While nearly everything we hear about China is drawn from tired ideology-driven geopolitical team sports, the industrial revolution there in past decades, where they became an entitled Western world’s factory, is surely one of the greatest untold stories of our time. https://t.co/wWuRuRBytP
ICEs have been rubbish technology since the day they were first created. Under 30% efficient in most cars even today. EVs were winning even in the late 19th century, until Rockefeller flooded the world with cheap oil. The EV revolution is righting an historical injustice. https://t.co/y4DkiRMU2O
Now that the old White Australia staples are back, like Aboriginal assimilation and the Yellow Peril, can we peer through that fog long enough to sensibly ask if a US under Trump is worse than a China under Xi? (I would say yes, without question.) https://t.co/EgZ6huVRp9
For every litre of fuel you put in an ICE vehicle, about 700 ml goes out the exhaust as wasted heat. They're hopelessly inefficient. Put the same energy in an EV that you have in a tank of petrol or diesel, and the EV will travel thousands of kms. https://t.co/UIsh31iejQ
I thought we were protecting the vulnerable for the past 2 years. Combination of privatised aged care and the impossibility of turning any segment of the population into a permanent bio-hazard containment facility. https://t.co/DyY9CyEr51
Governments are struggling to build new transmission lines and solar and wind farms to bring renewable energy to households and businesses, at the same time as those households and businesses are already generating it on their roofs. The strategy is wrong. https://t.co/rgzjxILFsR
Australian households and businesses and their roofs are the solution to a fast transition. Superb reporting. The government needs to understand this, and really fast. https://t.co/9we6m9UPUq https://t.co/VSFHlFRGAi
It's 70 years of anti-public politics, what we call 'the economy', as a substitute for society. There is no we, no public, in an economy. The people who invented the economy told us 'there is no such thing as society'. And that's where we've arrived. https://t.co/jDL9zjYPaB
Virtual transmission (using batteries to replace many transmission lines) and consumer energy trading (like 'Uber'-Energy, where you sell your excess solar to other consumers in a consumer market) are on the AEMO and government radar. We need to go faster. https://t.co/5L6X2fP3jk
Still one of the most eye-watering AEMO graphics. That's grid collapse, by 2025. With existing PV output, which could double by 2030. Current suggested solutions include 'curtailment', i.e. turning off exports on households. New storage would soak that up, and is needed FAST. https://t.co/cIIHTQUySk
It would be extraordinary if the death of around 30,000 Australians in under 2 years by deliberate National Cabinet policy isn't examined in this Inquiry. https://t.co/u1gPtem1TJ
The politics of the economy not only prolonged the pandemic. It created it. The whole phenomenon is political. Without the politics, there would have been no pandemic. https://t.co/mp5cStf5zz
‘Stubborn inflation’ is really stubborn refusal to rethink monetarism as a theory of society. Where money replaces ordinary regulatory democracy. Thats what monetarism was invented to do, replace democracy with a market, mediated by money. Who still reads history? https://t.co/OqUSiS9gmL
A wonderful editorial. I’d add that public health thrives when elites feel threatened, and vice versa. But more than that, you can’t have public health without a public. The public was invented as an entity in the late-19th century. The past 7 years has destroyed it. /1 https://t.co/8NYxb2LD1M
Societies area always just social. What destroyed it wasn’t capitalism or greed or corporations or money, all those grown-up bogeymen. It was the transformation of adult culture into adolescent high school culture. Through high schools as separate social spaces for children. /2
If you sever the social spaces of children from that of adults, when they leave school that’s the social space they will reproduce, in adulthood. It’s all they know. Social media dramatically accelerates this shift, which is why everything seems to be getting worse. /3
Now the same infrastructure of social life coexists across every age group. The platforms of likes. Itself a reproduction of high school life, in software. There’s no grown-up culture left, that we knew from pre-high school times. /4
Also why our politics has collapsed into rank populism. Populism is the culture of high school life, popularity is its currency. Why I say shut social media down, it’s pouring petrol on this adolescent fire. It’s popular to ignore pandemics and climate change now. /5
We won’t survive popularity as the mechanism of running societies. Too much of what critically needs doing will always be either unpopular, or easily made that. Trump is preparing for another populist assault on the US. It can’t survive that. But I think it’s too late. /end
That should say 70 years.
We endured years of political slogans about 'baseload' and 'supply'. About 6000 megawatts of large-scale solar and wind is switched off every day, because there's nowhere for that tsunami of energy to go. About enough to get us through peak hours every day. We need STORAGE, fast. https://t.co/AzeArMe5Nb
If you dramatically accelerate the rollout of EVs, you're solving more than 2 problems, fast. Why are we still waiting for vehicle emissions standards? https://t.co/vhXmYfQHzx
I always encourage anti-EV and anti-renewables trolls to invest every last cent of their life savings in ICEs, coal, oil and nuclear. Nothing like personal bankruptcy to shift deeply-embedded slogans. https://t.co/6qYolEfq1B
Come across to Team Reality, away from Team Sports. Stuff is happening there, good stuff, with no connection to the idiot drivel you hear from elected populists every day. https://t.co/HViD6gL2V3
Education has never been a growth industry in the Dumb Country, nobody wants to say it. Unless it's job training employers are too entitled and lazy to pay for themselves, and/or a river of international student fee gold. https://t.co/BYoTda5nP5
This is the Alice in Wonderland pandemic strategy again. A strategy that says we'll drive this pandemic away with hybrid immunity, through 'natural infection'. But please avoid infecting anybody. https://t.co/gxYTPUFKdf
The more renewable energy and EVs take hold, the more the countering propaganda ramps up. A current favourite is that sales of EVs are collapsing. Didn’t take more than a minute to trace that back to its source. https://t.co/Fz2EGk7Y25
Routing urgent action through the popularity-based electoral process is going well. There are things that need to be objectively done. They won’t be done if we have to go through the farce of making them popular first. Nobody votes on who’s flying the plane. https://t.co/dG8WEp5DHZ
Go households, the industry has politicians in their pocket. Households are already bypassing this farce, they are and always have been the heart of any economy. A grid dissolves the distinction between local and global action. Keep electrifying households. https://t.co/TfI5J0cDHM
I guess this is deflation, so isn't important like inflation. https://t.co/s6g3yNagmG
It was patently obvious this was the rationale for re-opening schools here too. Business needed its childcare back. The academics and health professionals who provided a human shield for this clearly political act should have a Wall of Shame somewhere. https://t.co/P2FK8fs3Yy
You can now get a reading of national weather by looking at the wholesale spot price for electricity (the purple line). Yesterday’s widespread storms drove that price up, as sunshine plummeted. Not an argument against renewables, an indication of how central they now are. https://t.co/Cv6XbhooCO
Something remarkable is happening in Australia, which only Team Reality will notice. Team Populism will just be interested in which politician farted in parliament, or danced in a funny way. The energy grid is Shakespearean. Have a look at South Australia. /1 https://t.co/PbLck9eg00
Everybody remembers the 2016 South Australia blackout. And how the LNP and its cheerleaders in the media tried to weaponise it as an anti-renewables message. We then endured years of praise of coal as providing 'cheap, reliable power'. Let's fast-forward 5 years, to 2021. /2 https://t.co/sYhxBol1XD
Reliability first. 'Load shedding' is when they forcibly shut down big users of electricity because of lack of supply. South Australia continued adding renewables at record pace after 2016. And what happened? It became the most reliable market in the country. See the zero? /3 https://t.co/mEuu5wNG6r
That's zero days of supply shortfall in SA, between 2018 and 2021. The record for the big coal-burning States? O dear. Adding renewables to the mix increases reliability. So what about price? /4 https://t.co/13bBaDQU6f
The wholesale spot market is superb viewing, every day. The purple line is wholesale price, the green is demand. Starting with NSW. Significant variability, due to the grid being in transition there to renewables. Weather shifts generation when you don't have enough storage. /5 https://t.co/BVDdmKJwjV
Same pattern in Qld, Vic, Tas. In all States demand (the green line) is low during the day now, due to the huge influx of renewable energy. 3.4 million Australians are already generating their own power, on their roof. That number projected to double by 2030. /6 https://t.co/OwgjKy9jlf
Now, South Australia. BOOM. Wholesale prices flat-lined at around ZERO. None of that variability you see in other States, because SA is rapidly approaching a mature renewables-dominated supply. This is the ultimate endgame, genuine 'cheap and reliable' power. /7 https://t.co/4qrnWllZKm
@simonahac is there an interpretation of the SA data that explains this in some other way? It does appear to represent the level of renewables maturity the rest of the Oz grid is heading towards. And there's more. /8 https://t.co/IBdY8D1QIT
In October South Australia also went a week sourcing 99.8% of its electricity from wind and solar alone. It's a staggering achievement, it should be national news. They may get to 100% as early as 2026. /end https://t.co/KAn45UKSHl
Thanks to @simonahac for elaborating that this may be a charting artefact, created by that one massive peak flattening the rest of the curve (charted using a linear rather than log scale).
Geoff's data is so useful to debunk the idea there's a meaningful 'mainstream media' now. I don't remember my own kids watching free to air TV for example in at least 6 years. Social media is the new public square. Which should terrify us. https://t.co/R3mZd0uaj2
A coal washer. The only 'clean coal' you'll find. The second you burn it, it will never be clean again. https://t.co/iVBROSDfBC
Somebody suggested the other day that the fact an ICE is rarely even 30% efficient 'makes it the same as solar panels'. Yeh, nah. https://t.co/42t8bK4zUb
It’s the self-censorship that’s so hidden. Somebody at work returned from a long holiday, over a month. Regaled everybody all week about what a fabulous time they had. Confided in me this morning that they spent over a week of it in bed with Covid.
Batteries are changing assumptions around energy provision. Combined with the unbeatable cost advantages of solar panels, they challenge the idea of investing heavily in centralised generation, or long transmission lines. The price of batteries has dropped 97% in 30 years. https://t.co/Q10RQgWYCJ
We’ve always ‘overbuilt’ power generation, to provide redundancy. Renewables, particularly solar, make this a vital strategy because they’re incredibly cheap. Combining lots of surplus panels with battery storage is easily the fastest and cheapest transition to full renewables. https://t.co/MmeGhojx9a
@OrinCordus link is: https://t.co/zMXTHgRMSb
This is why social media must either be very heavily regulated, or shut down. We’re leaving the door wide open to pirates who are using the platforms to mainpulate critical social processes at will, cheaply and fast. https://t.co/1WLaGLmdco
I believe Covid is the first disease in recorded human history that humans have deliberately chosen to ‘live with’. Because that’s an empty slogan, it deliberately disguises two fundamentally different meanings. /1
We have of course had to ENDURE some diseases, because they’re hard to control, have no treatments, etc. Colds, flu, TB, cancer, malaria, heart disease etc. But we’ve constantly worked to control spread of those, and develop treatments and preventions. /2
That’s what ‘living with’ has historically meant. Enduring something, while trying to prevent, control and treat. But the ‘living with’ slogan for Covid means something fundamentally and historically different. It means to do nothing. Just infect, repeatedly. /3
It’s not a fight against the disease, it’s a fight against public health itself. Funded by the same vested interests who have been assaulting everything with ‘public’ in its name or with a public focus. It’s an assault upon the concept of the public itself. /4
And again, no matter how much these vested interests deny it, this is also an open, declared campaign. And has been for over 70 years. It’s right there, ‘personal responsibility’ to replace anything public. Never before has this lunacy extended to disease. But it does now. /5 https://t.co/Xdd5L1NbHa
I don’t think enough have registered yet that once you remove all of the infrastructure of society in this way, all that’s left that binds people together is slogans. We live in a sloganocracy. ‘Living with Covid’ sits on top of an ocean of slogans, we’re neck-deep in them. /6
That’s what social media is like, wading through the treacle of competing slogans. Slogans are the only interpersonal social life that is now permitted to exist. ‘Stop the Boats’. ‘When the sun doesn’t shine and wind doesn’t blow.’ Spend time listing them, it’s eye-opening. /end
Electricity retailers are maybe not all bad. Have looked at the energy trading systems that allow individuals to access the wholesale electricity market and buy and sell directly. It’s difficult to out-perform a good retailer, even with solar and a battery. https://t.co/NPYMv8QyKc
Middleton is quality. But it’s outrageous really that we can’t just say ‘um, we’re living with a pandemic? Is that a joke?’ https://t.co/32ZJBzv2kz
I think we should be concerned that our new renewables-based grid will be so heavily privatised from the beginning. Privatised energy has been mostly a failure. The only exception may be focusing more on rooftop solar, which would also be the fastest route forward. https://t.co/4xYobraJkL
I did some back-of-the-envelope calculations and realised my rooftop solar was generating about enough electricity every week to get an EV from Sydney to Perth. I wanted to use that fact to open a window onto a set of beliefs that is hobbling us on Covid, and climate. /1 https://t.co/H7jHbLe6j6
The sunshine on one rooftop combined with now cheap solar panels is giving me enough energy to cross an entire continent, every week. In comfort. Continental crossings were once major productions, but now an individual can do it without much effort. /2
The point for me here is that we have the wrong view about how societies work. The political beliefs that dominate us encourage us to think of societies as millions of separate individuals, with tiny impact on anything that happens. We even think that’s what ‘democracy’ means. /3
But societies are NETWORKED. They don’t function as millions of separate individuals. The model of democracy as these isolated individuals that then have to be ‘mobilised’ IS the same political belief system that pretends societies are markets. That they don’t exist. /4
Running campaigns to ‘mobilise’ all of these millions of individuals is being trapped inside that same political framing of society, trying to build a ‘customer base’ for a cause. It’s the dead-end the proponents of these political beliefs designed to trap people inside. /5
Everything you do is already not an ‘individual’ thing. I made that point about Covid action, how every infection you prevent by simply wearing a mask and avoiding indoor crowds, can potentially prevent thousands, even millions, of other infections, and sicknesses and deaths. /6
Ironically a pandemic is showing us how connected, how networked, we already are. There is no local and global action, that distinction is meaningless. You are already ‘acting globally’ by being careful about Covid in your own life. Your life is networked to everybody else’s. /7
We spend too much time focused on political leaders, as if they’re an obligatory passage point for any action. The only way to ‘get things to scale’. The solar panels I had installed on my one modest home are generating enough energy for me to cross a continent, every week. /8
Energy is an excellent example of how our frameworks of belief can fundamentally change how we see problems and their solutions. As Saul Griffith says, we can make the whole country renewable much faster by just focusing on peoples’ individual homes. /9
Because those homes are *already* networked, to everywhere else. I generate enough power every day to power 3 or 4 other homes. And that’s where my power goes, when it’s exported. Like my ‘individual’ Covid action, my energy action is already global. Networked. /10
It’s a trap to feel powerless because your aims may not currently align with whatever popularly elected dimwits are currently thinking and doing. You don’t need to wait for them to pull their heads out of their arses to bring about even profound change. /11
And that doesn’t mean you exhausting yourself trying to ‘mobilise’ the entire population in a cause type of way. That’s the trap they set for you, to make you think you need to do that. Everything you do is already networked to everybody else. /12
That’s how a tiny group of conspiracy fantasists de-railed our Covid response. It’s all theatre, like Puss in Boots. They scared the elected dimwits, but it was a con. They used the networking tools of social media to create global impact. Most of us didn’t agree. /13 https://t.co/hVhNizgjL6
They just bypassed sensible people, because they understand how networks work. They didn’t bother trying to mobilise the rest of us, they took their lunacy to scale without us. We can do the same in reverse. Not necessarily by having mass, loud protests. That’s the con. /14
Most of the success of the cookers wasn’t the street protests, it was owning the social networking space, on social media. Everything they did ‘went viral’. Meanwhile good people wail into the social media void about how unfair it all is. That doesn’t go viral. /15
Or they tear their hair out trying to mobilise millions of people who aren’t even interested. Because they’re stuck in the trap the cookers made for them, in the idea democracy is millions of separate individuals. All people are already connected. /16
People act socially, they emulate and imitate. That’s what going viral means, thinking and acting in ways that assumes you’re already global, because you are. I don’t argue with cookers, I try to think of ways to make something that counters their bullshit go viral instead. /17
I don’t wait for elected dimwits to rebuild our electricity grid with renewables, like millions of other Australians, I started without them. They’re now having to respond to us, rather than the other way around. /end https://t.co/hTpgq7Me3j
People endured far worse in world wars, and stuck with it for years. The difference today is the leadership void, a vacuum where action should be led from. The State beheaded, in favour of a fictitious market, which is really just every bully getting away with whatever they like. https://t.co/w95TLa951K
The fallacy that you can ‘protect the vulnerable’ without protecting everybody else. Most of the cases appear to be staff, who of course have to move in and out of the facilities constantly. https://t.co/lpQ9zuG1g1
Add ‘overreach’ to the slogan lexicon, the new ‘balance’ or ‘proportionate’. The great push around the world in the review of Covid action, including here. To ensure public health action is never permitted again, only the economy. As if those were ever 2 separate things anyway. https://t.co/FEQ03QO3pD
The increasing infection of ordinary life by social media. A company in the middle of introducing EVs to its fleet. There were delays, because ‘we need to reflect the increased fire risk in our policies’. I asked what the risks were. ‘EVs, they can catch fire.’ Ffs.
Great window into how trained we are now to assuming a ‘market’ is a solution to everything. 70 years of propaganda. The same is happening with the shift to a renewable energy grid, nearly entirely private at grid level. Government should invest at the household level. https://t.co/yXGOJgROpZ
For a moment when I saw the headline I thought the experts were going to explain how we stop Covid. Alas, it’s firmly in the ‘have a Bex and a good lie down’ category. Like road safety experts saying ‘after your accident, make sure you rest.’ https://t.co/JBDuvGb6ce
Risk management for the sensible, since nobody else is doing it. Say hybrid immunity turns out to be real. (Like unicorns.) Much better for you to let the Infinite Covids get all of the infections, so you can emerge from the pandemic relatively healthy.
A reminder that ‘the pandemic is over’ is only the same as ‘I’m over the pandemic’ when adults are teenagers. https://t.co/Z9YH9L7n1e
Albanese came to power trying to emulate Hawke, the consensus-builder. But Hawke was working with an older sort of opposition, still aiming for public policy outcomes. The LNP, like the Tories and Republicans, hasn't been like that for at least 20 years. /1 https://t.co/iN6YgyAUuU
They're unalloyed populists now, parties captured entirely by donors and running nothing but a constant stream of updated slogans to maintain that popularity, so that they can then act for the donors. There's no mediation, no policy. What was the last LNP policy you remember? /2
And they're getting away with it because too many are still stuck in the old Left v Right team sports, fighting an irrelevant old battle. Populism isn't of the Left or Right, or of politics itself in any way. It's entire focus is just what's popular. /3
And it doesn't take polls for that, it engineers popularity. It's just marketing, dressed up as politics. Complete regulatory capture. To this day LNP front-benchers still answer questions about our energy system for example, by saying 'pick up the phone to the gas companies'. /4
You can't get a clearer view of the complete regulatory capture in play, the gas companies have been phoning in our national energy policy for the best part of 20 years. So with this context, what Albanese is doing is utterly naive political suicide. /5
The referendum showed it in spades. He wasn't dealing with another political party (LNP), trying to build a consensus. The LNP did what they now do for everything, like the Republicans and Tories. They turned the whole issue into meaningless slogans, to wreck the process. /6
And try to build their own popularity. It's what all of the modern Anglo conservative parties do now, for everything. They're literally nothing more than shopfronts for donors. Populism is toxic, politicians always avoided it because they knew its sugar-hit is temporary. /7
Temporary and socially destructive. The 'don't go there' territory. But now these shopfronts pretending to be parties couldn't care less about any of that. All that matters is doing the bidding of the donors. The only exception, the religious culture warriors in the parties. /8
The ones there to wreck the State, because they never accepted secularism and work tirelessly to undermine it. Often the populist strategies are formulated in conjunction with churches, who are historical masters of mass persuasion. And good luck to them, not a judgement. /9
Secular States don't always have a record to be proud of over the past 2-3 centuries. Over 100 million people died in secular wars in the 20th century. But you have to at least be aware of what these people are doing. I think Albo is living a fantasy revival of the 1980s. /end
While some debate this at the immune system level, the broader point is that seemingly mild acute infection can lead to catastrophic longer-term impact. Nothing about EBV (for example) suggested MS. We need risk management, it's not a scientific debate. We're infecting EVERYBODY. https://t.co/GMJcl6mkiq
Perfect timing, thanks @BigBadDenis https://t.co/V9xeQTF0sv
Ever noticed that 'the economy' is completely party-agnostic, in political terms? That no matter who is elected and their belief systems, they will all end up following the dictates of a handful of entirely arbitrary statistical indicators? That's the con. /1
Many if not most assume that's because those indicators represent a sort of bedrock of all social life. Rubbish. The whole of economics itself is not even that, it's like how physics often assumes it's the most fundamental science. Also rubbish. 'The economy' is not a thing. /2
'Economic' transactions are a thing, trade etc. But they don't take place in 'an economy', they take place in a society. The economy is the con that substitutes for society, so that only economic transactions get priority. A deliberate invention to bypass all politics. /3
So that those who benefit most from economic transactions also get to dominate all politics. No matter that those transactions are themselves just social transactions too. The conservative inventors of the economy can now do politics, while looking like they're not. /4
Like they're just following the 'laws' of economics, objective reality. It doesn't even occur to people to ask why we're not following any other laws, like the ones governing climate change and pandemics. They're as if not more objective than any econo-babble. /5
Until we ditch the idea that the economy is an actual thing, and not just a society with some economic transactions included, we will keep losing. At everything. That's why it was invented. /end
The popularly-elected inventors and drivers of the scheme escape sanction. Because popularity has ultimate authority in our societies, and grants itself exemptions from all accountability. Until we change that, nothing will improve. https://t.co/3UfCM4vXpt
I think we need to get National Cabinet, the AHPPC and ATAGI on a cruise together. Lead the hybrid immunity push from the top. https://t.co/EG7xuaeNjF
FluTracker captures generalised respiratory illness. In Economy-land, 2020 is the year that will never be allowed to happen again. We were too well. https://t.co/ae2rMZ4rGc
Watching ordinary households and businesses lay waste to fatuous slogans is infinitely more fun than listening to politicians. This is maximum 'penetration' of renewables to the grid at a point in time. 100% by 2025. Then extending this penetration to 24 hours per day. https://t.co/LOcpqpf5Di
My constant thought too, that we have no way of predicting long-term health impacts. No way anybody thought H.pylori would cause stomach ulcers, or EBV would cause MS. It's criminal that we're not using risk management to approach this, we're infecting and re-infecting EVERYBODY. https://t.co/QYpzSIpbUb
lol. Life in a sloganocracy. What can you say or do any more? Adopt the brace position, maybe. https://t.co/Nb5BkIUjTf
It’s scary out there, in organisations and businesses, the total absence of leadership and commitment to do hard things. All led by a political belief system that celebrates vacating leadership to a market that doesn’t even exist. ‘Living your best life’ in the wreckage.
A friend has had to leave work for the second time due to the same ‘mysterious’ illness, suspected mini-strokes. May never return, and can’t afford to retire. I doubt anybody is even looking for possible links to earlier Covid infections.
There are no grown-ups left to do anything about it. The Western world is now a giant high school where only bullies and show ponies get attention. Social media transforms all disaster into an attention-platform for more performative team sports. https://t.co/2ChKFKSRoY
@DrCameronMurray showing how functioning societies involve governments intervening. The small government politics of the past 70 years has reversed social evolution to entrench adolescent high school life as adult life. A ‘market’ is a playground, dominated by bullies. https://t.co/gw1A6XZ3el
Another slogan, ‘range’. A real stumbling block for many in their transition to EVs. Like they need to drive 800km every day to buy milk. Most Australians drive about 30km per day, on average. https://t.co/C48IlerHMp
I've found the path of least resistance for work and other Chirstmas parties is to not argue about or make excuses for them. Just say you're going, and then don't, if they're after hours or offsite somewhere.
Hmm, this is interesting. Hybrid immunity lasts 3 to 6 months. So 2-4 waves a year, every year. Just like the flu. And unicorns. https://t.co/tT1Da1zbDk
What great project(s) are our nations engaged in that require us to push aside action on climate change and Covid? Can anybody name one? If something else is more important than heading off incineration and infection, what is it?
More people wear masks to mow the lawn now in Australia than in hospitals for infection control. https://t.co/PvInQ7G63G
The casual indifference to infection, ‘living with’ infection, began just over a century ago. It’s monumental hubris. Microbes own this planet, not us. Infection was once our greatest foe, we had whole schools of tropical medicine devoted to it. We’re on borrowed time. https://t.co/eNADEgohKB
Everything will be a correlation at best when the conceptual framework around infection is focused only on the acute on-ramp, the initial contact between ourselves and the pathogen. Pathogens move in, they live inside us. We’re using the wrong concepts. https://t.co/v1PXYgkNNP
While the ALP (or anyone) believes ‘the economy’ is a thing, nothing will get better. The economy is a fiction designed to entrench existing advantage. A political invention. Only personal debt gives an illusion that it delivers for all. When credit dries up, the truth appears. https://t.co/rjIuWl15hN
It’s frustrating that it’s not more obvious that ‘the economy’ is just ‘the market’. A social invention, a fiction, pretending humans live as isolated individuals. They never have, and never will. The proponents of the economy don’t, they live in strict hierarchies. /1
The economy/market was their invention, to rationalise doing nothing for the collective good of anybody except themselves. Don’t believe for a second they personally act in anything resembling a ‘market’. They employ widespread cronyism. Isn’t this fiction obvious? /2
They invented the idea of markets so that any attempt to do anything collective would be ‘anti-competitive’, would violate the laws of the market. Damaging the economy. They use equilibrium equations to say doing nothing will create the optimum equilibrium for society. /3
Again, it’s a SOCIAL invention. That doesn’t match a single thing humans actually do, socially. It’s a con. It sets up a fake binary between individual and collective action. But those are the same thing. We act as groups to make life better for individuals. /4
And they don’t personally believe it or act as if they do. Socially they do what humans have always done, they look after their social group. That’s what the economy was invented to do, to disguise that this is what they were doing. /5
They took a point in time in history where they were doing very well, and codified a group of statistical indicators that represented that advantage, and said ‘this is the economy’. Ever since no politics has been able to do a thing. /6
Humans are incinerating the planet and living with pandemics, rather than challenge this crazy fiction. Nearly everyone actually believes that societies can only function if ‘the economy’ allows it. Like an economy is our oxygen, food and water. Who believes this nonsense? /7
Pretty much everybody, the propaganda is so entrenched and embedded. /end
A chain is only as strong as its weakest link. That's why we invented the idea of the public, to recognise that inter-relationship at the heart of every society. If we don't protect the weakest links, the whole lot collapses. The economy can't understand this.
We don't let inflation rip, we don't live with it. But we can infect every child in the land with a novel virus. Repeatedly. An entire generation, the future. A tool of our creation, the economy, does this. And we worry about AI. Bring on anything with intelligence, I say.
As night follows day, with any mention of something being done about Covid, the usual suspects appear to reassure everybody that we should do nothing, except get vaccinated (which most of us don't qualify for). It would be interesting to know who organises these push-backs. https://t.co/CFZL8r6MiH
The fastest way to short-circuit human intelligence is any sort of travel. https://t.co/Gwxr9Df2X6
There are wholesalers of SARS infection (e.g. schools, workplaces) and retailers (households). The supply chain for infection isn’t being controlled at all, at the wholesale level. Public health is the management of the supply chain of infection. https://t.co/cf9pqYf0NK
We can still do public health. Unless, as with immigration, some idiot politician has turned it into team sports. https://t.co/qvxhG9ocmb
Travel turns locations with centuries of custom and tradition into theme parks. Literally, theme parks. Travellers go there to experience an image they have of the place, in their heads. Destroying it, for their selfie-led fantasies. https://t.co/YekZ832lSq
It's 2023 and we still allow 'opinion journalism'. https://t.co/0dd6e3Nf5r
The proliferation of identity-based political grievances is no accident. Nothing is more plastic and manipulable than identity, and nothing more seductive in a world where all social and collective ways to define your purpose have been stripped away. /1
Just watch how the little collective action we have left is immediately bogged down in swarms of objections from people who see the change as violating some aspect of their identity-based agency. This is endgame political libertarianism, not freedom. /2
As Robert Hughes said in his The Culture of Complaint': "The self is now the sacred cow of American culture, self-esteem is sacrosanct." What we see as freedom is trapping us more every day. Nothing but angry carping and complaining about inconveniences to ourselves. /3
Like we're all just customers now of democracy, demanding the best possible products and services. Centred on our own constantly confected identities, role-playing fantasies drawn from the most obscure and ridiculous sources. /4
The terror of causing 'offence' across the entire political spectrum, nowhere more strongly than by those who claim to promote free speech without a care for the offence it might cause. They're the most easily offended of all. /5
We're all trapped in this. Fighting tooth and claw for some agency in the complete clusterfuck of 70 years of the dismantling of anything public or social. Team sports, between rival individual identities. /end
What stood out for me here is how the hybrid immunity crowd are now saying '5-10 years' as the time we need to allow for it to occur. It was 2 years, last year. https://t.co/44a2sV1qxE
It's the well that hasn't run dry for them since John Howard. Desperately behind in the polls, throw civil society under a bus, dog-whistling racism. Again. The ALP is too clueless to nullify it with a counter-strategy. #auspol https://t.co/W74Xgg7psH
An elected politician. Can we get rid of popularity as the door to ultimate power yet? https://t.co/38jBbj11NA
h/t @oskaandme
Again, socially the only reason we had 70 years of pretty good public health practice was that 2 world wars and an earlier pandemic suppressed existing social hierarchies enough to open a space for a public to emerge. Without those, the hierarchies reformed. https://t.co/G8pt4plapa
You have to look at human social behaviour to understand Covid, climate change and everything else. People act socially to defend their social groupings. The science or other facts make no difference. It’s not about Covid. /1 https://t.co/Tm5PlsxUIP
People use masks and Covid only as fuel for the team sports. You could trace many other members of this particular social grouping, and find them aligned on a whole range of topics. But those topics are also just fuel to maintain group unity. /2
Similarly those who oppose this team use masks and Covid to differentiate their team, from this other team. Yes it matters whether we use masks and do other things about Covid. But once the team sports starts, the chances of that happening are near zero. /3
If you oppose what Ben and Nick discuss here by saying they have the facts all wrong, that team likes nothing better. That’s mission accomplished. You’ll notice this team emerges into the public space every time another team has a win. When Covid action seems imminent. /4
But again, ultimately it’s not about Covid. It’s team sports. Just as footballers and their fans don’t actually give any thought to the ball itself. It’s just a means to social ends. It’s how teenagers act in high school, defining and maintaining their social groups. /5
As everybody who follows me would know, that’s no accident. Mass schooling led to a cultural shift where adult life was re-built as a giant high school. Social media dramatically accelerated and strengthened this shift. Listen to Planck, one of the greatest minds of all time: /6
‘A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.’ Bullseye. That basic social fact is now our whole culture. /7
A fascinating study showed this in action, in chemistry as a field. Where the death of a prominent researcher shifted the entire field in new directions. See: https://t.co/q0gbd0RrmZ /8
Science is like everything else, 100% social. Until we start looking at humans as social creatures first, foremost and exclusively, nothing else will make sense. All the political frameworks we use of Left and Right and capitalism and socialism etc. are fictions. /9
They’re names given to teams in this perpetual social team sports mechanism. A very simple mechanism to understand and work with. Instead we become depressed nothing changes because the continuous battle of our team against other teams produces no outcomes. /10
Know who understands this better than anybody? School teachers. It’s their job to short-circuit this mechanism as much as possible, to civilise people to a different way of acting. To teach us to bypass playground groupings, and add knowledge as a guide in our lives. /11
It’s no coincidence that teaching and teachers are one of the lowest status and ignored professional in our societies now. The playground has been victorious over them. /end
Populist attack politics were imported from the US and UK by the LNP under John Howard, and they’ve been accelerating the use of these methods ever since. It’s destroying what’s left of Australian democracy. Social media is populism’s Trojan Horse and pours petrol on the fire. /1 https://t.co/7bTX3azChj
The LNP has done no meaningful public policy work in 30 years, as a result. Like the US and UK, their passion and intent is to destroy what remains of the public itself, as a methodology of democratic governance, and replace it with populism. /2
An easily manipulated well that never runs dry, as a pathway to ultimate power. It’s just marketing. Anything can be made popular, or unpopular. What are the LNP’s policy priorities? Nothing but populist slogans, designed to generate votes. /3
Right now they’re trying to reverse a catastrophic election loss inside a single term, by abandoning even any pretence of acting as an opposition on critical public issues. Nothing but spoiling, populist wrecking on the referendum, and on every other issue. /4
Older, wiser politicians like some on their own side, who resigned in disgust at this shift (Malcolm Fraser for example) know that politicians historically avoided the cheap power from populism, because its longer-term impacts are so damaging. /5
Not just to countries, but to parties themselves. Look at the US, where Trump is trashing his own Republicans, as they watch helplessly. All populism leads to cults of the Great Leader, like the fascists in the 20th century. Fascism is just populism left to run. /6
It’s laughable that people look on at this and still describe it in terms of Left and Right, the old categories of party politics. Parties are powerless against populism, it will sweep them away with a wave of the hand. Populism already derailed Australia’s Covid response. /7 https://t.co/asb6w6YNsa
Social media internationalises populism, most of Australia’s ‘lockdown’ protests were engineered from places like the US, using social media to weaponise local cookers. Popularity can not, EVER, work as a method for running anything. It is absolutely NOT democracy. /8
Our belief that democracy is what ‘the people’ (never defined) want, measured by the popularity of things, is what will destroy it. The people doesn’t exist, those who use the phrase are attributing their own desires to an amorphous undefinable mass. /9
Unless ruthless action is taken to counter populism, including by heavily regulating the libertarian attack weapons we call social media platforms, centuries of social progress will be lost. Bullies will run societies, engineering anything they like through popularity. /10
Alas we’re already there. The LNP here in Oz is drunk on the fast-power populism gives them to alter the constantly shifting waves of popularity, not content to spend any time in opposition building an alternative policy platform. It doesn’t want a policy platform. /11
It long since became a shopfront for vested interests, its donors and bedfellows in the modern conservative looniverse, with zero interest in government itself. They openly say it, they’re a ‘small government’ party. The enemy to them is government itself. /12
As if government wasn’t something humans invented to escape the bully-led chaos we’re seeing right now. Populism is completely ahistorical, it has no understanding of or interest in history. Unless we recognise popularity as the enemy, we won’t change anything. /end
Despite almost universal obstruction politically, notice that action on renewable energy has been underway for years. Our popularity contests (elections) are irrelevant hot air sideshows to objective, material realities. Come over to reality politics. https://t.co/7IVw3daqDr
The 20th century made massive progress in public health, schooling, and a whole range of other public things, for only one reason. Wars destroyed existing social hierarchies. Only the near destruction of society itself allowed progress to bypass those hierarchies. https://t.co/Fx9XPpyzUk
You see here how only total catastrophe really shifts societies. The Tories looking to cut welfare even further, to fund inheritance tax cuts for the wealthy. On no measure other than the social team sports of protecting an existing social hierarchy is this justifiable. https://t.co/bnFSqxpot9
John Hewson nailing it here about the populist threat to democracies, and how far the LNP is down that rabbit hole. h/t @dj1au https://t.co/al5d0JukWm
Another UK Tory opining that a Supreme Court ruling on refugees is inappropriate, that these questions are for ‘elected’ leaders. Populists worship ‘elected’, because that’s how they get power, manipulating popularity. While pretending that’s what democracy is.
In 2008/9 the Rudd Govt targeted households to head off a financial crisis. Households *are* the economy, not one business would survive without households. The reverse isn’t true. All of our largest political problems converge upon households - energy, Covid, cost of living. https://t.co/ucCXkbrcd0
Hear hear. Let’s add ‘lockdowns’ to that list too. They never stopped, it’s just that now people have to pay for them themselves. They were privatised. https://t.co/vYRXYfq9C0
A vital thread for those who want to understand the deep cultural war that’s been in play for decades now. You won’t understand that war with our traditional political categories. https://t.co/ByAOIzuqgB
A very good exploration of institutions, and trust. Societies are 100% social, and operate by the imitation and emulation of those we trust. Our institutions are the outcome, allowing us to live by trusting others with expertise in other areas. BUT…/1 https://t.co/EQNV3eHGpo
…what’s missing for me is that a lot of the new institutions Murray talks about here are largely driven by social media. It matters HOW you generate trust. The process described here of people with existing institutional reputation using it to generate new networks? /2
The economy of likes of social media is nothing like older scientific institutions. You can generate a trusted following doing very little scientific anything, on social media. As we’ve seen with Covid minimisers, with little connection to historical public health precedents. /3
What’s painted here as a positive process to me is nearly always doing irreparable damage to our institutional foundations. For all of their faults, existing institutions at least have a diversity of methods for testing claims. Not just likes on social media. /4
I’ve worked in universities for many years and can understand how brilliant, maverick thinkers sometimes need to branch out to escape the existing social hierarchies. Planck’s point again about progress in knowledge, one funeral at a time. But social media isn’t the way. /5
If we shift our trust economy for knowledge to social media, we surrender it to nothing but popularity. Sure there are a diversity of brilliant minds there too, but popularity will quickly overwhelm everything else, as it does in politics. /6
The large follower base for key Covid and climate minimisers for example aren’t scientists or other people of expertise. They’re mostly ordinary folk with no idea about public health or climate science, attracted to the framing of these ideas in social battles they’re part of. /7
Like a friend of mine, with no scientific background, but fanatically anti-renewables and anti-EVs, and latching onto key minimisers on social media in both of those areas because they give him ammunition against ‘Greenies’, whom he hates. /8
It’s quick and easy to trace these social networks, just look at the followers. The same minimising names will crop up across a whole range of seemingly unrelated issues, because the real game here is the team sport of culture wars. That’s one good thing about social media. /9
It allows you to instantly trace these connections, to assess the real game being played. It’s how many of us already assess whether a claim we see here can be trusted, or whether it’s just fodder for some idiot culture war. /end
There is only one freedom. Everything else is just team sports. Also why universities are so important, as a constant irritation to the wider team sports of society. And why societies constantly attack them. The LNP sacked tens of thousands of academics in the pandemic alone. https://t.co/n9NWVxpIE7
Advocates for the economy hated lockdowns the most. The same people who say society doesn’t exist, and replace it with a market of billions of separate individuals. Lockdowns were the perfect example OF a market, of society stripped of its social activity. The economy is a myth.
@RewiringAus assume you’d already seen this one, but if not, fellow travellers? https://t.co/efqzmYoqMF
What’s that Twain line? History doesn’t repeat. But it sure does rhyme. https://t.co/jXJfulfdga
For educated people, too often a cause is seen as politics. Protest, mostly. Expressing feelings like anger in dramatic ways. Bad people don’t care about anybody else’s feelings. Power is seduction, persuasion. Strategy. Bad people plan, seduce, organise.
All major progress in history comes from catastrophe, the only force strong enough to break social hierarchies. That’s what happened in the early-to-mid 20th century, and why we got 70 years of public health. Now over, until the next catastrophe. https://t.co/sfKyJRaKA2
Only public housing will fix the housing crisis. As always property developers are untouched (can’t scare the donors), and the only regulatory control left in the system is targeted as the problem. Voting, as always, hasn’t fixed anything. https://t.co/P7xAUYLwYv
On the best scientific advice, updated vaccines will be used to restrict deaths in aged care hopefully to only a few thousand, while the rest of us get more healthy natural, free infections. https://t.co/5uzb706rIA
Social media has won another election. https://t.co/3e5tvwfGvb
Societies operate on trust, not information (or mis- or disinformation). Don’t challenge with facts, say ‘so, this (climate science, or whatever) isn’t your job, why don’t you respect the people whose job it is? Are they coming into your workplace to tell you how to do your job?’
Striking to watch contrasts between different political cultures. People from the US for example much more likely to believe change will come from mobilising lots of ordinary people. Australians focus more on accountability for their existing institutions. But…/1
…the growth of social media is shifting the Australian culture more towards the US culture, of a belief that change comes from mobilising ordinary people (usually with social media). I think that’s a terrible shift, it’s the libertarian fantasy going global. /2
‘The people’ is not and never will be a thing. It is not an actor with agency, it’s just a collection of bodies and minds with no necessary connection at all. Government is ALREADY ‘the people’, expressed as a collective agency. /3
The binary between people and government IS the libertarian con. There is no binary, people invented government, to serve them, as people. Populists pretend you can bypass that and talk to the people directly, as some agency independent of institutional government. It’s a lie. /4
Those who use ‘the people’ politically never talk to any people, except their fellow cronies. They project all sorts of meanings onto things like votes that aren’t even real. It’s a trick, to replace our existing collective institutions with think tanks and social media. /end
I grew up not far from major coal-fired power generators. I wanted to use them as an example of social shifts, rather than technological. The engineering case for shifting to renewables is a no-brainer. But it’s the social environment that is now very different. /1 https://t.co/SNsseHMGpw
When new coal plants opened, it was a community event. Hundreds flocked to the facility to marvel at the technology. There was no real community interest in how these plants came to be there, people assumed this was what we needed, engineers and others had advised. /2
There was widespread trust in the expertise of power generation, of something that some people were trained to know about and implement. A very standard approach in mid-20th century Australia, with public institutions packed full of expertise, towards social ends. /3
Fast-forward to today and of course we’ve all seen that now energy, like much else, has been turned into a political team sport. Rather than simply asking engineers ‘what would be the most efficient and cheapest way for Australians to have electricity’, and letting public…/4
…works get on with building it, now every new solar or wind farm (for example) attracts fierce community resistance mobilised usually through social media. Despite the engineers and the investors clearly choosing this as their cheapest and most efficient way forward. /5
What’s changed isn’t that now the public is fed misinformation and disinformation. What’s changed is that they have any interest in this at all. When the coal plants were built, they just delegated that to public works, assuming they knew what they were doing. And they did. /6
Societies operate on trust. Not on information. The shift to our culture isn’t about information, it’s about the erosion of all mechanisms of trust, the engineering of distrust and interest in key parts of our social operating systems. Things that shouldn’t concern most of us. /7
It’s not difficult to say ‘build us the cheapest and most efficient electricity generation system’. That will be renewables, it’s why all the energy providers are shifting that way. Instead we have to wade through an ocean of social media-driven bullshit, to get basics done. /8
Why is everybody so angry now? Because nobody is trusted, this is the libertarian fantasy come to life. Everybody is now just a customer of everybody else. It’s also exhausting, as individuals have to transact everything, through fake markets. /9
What’s their ‘best deal’ on electricity, or health care? Whole industries are set up to help them compare the options, most of which are impenetrably (and deliberately so) difficult to understand. All because we gave up on trust as the glue that holds societies together. //10
I think this is a legacy of both English and American historical baggage, of deep distrust in their own institutions, be it nobles and royalty, churches or government. Long European-based histories of conflict, carried forward into modern libertarian politics. /11
Australia managed to escape that baggage for much of its history. But our own conservatives have accelerated its introduction here now too, the all-out assault on public institutions. The corrosion of trust, of sane, distributed expertise, left to do what it knows how to do. /end
A policy platform comprising nothing but slogans found on social media. People are still sure these platforms do more good than harm? https://t.co/hN3oRFRyNI
And they'll get away with it why? Because the only test of competence and probity is winning an election. If they can still manage to be popular, they can allow well over 200,000 Brits to die. https://t.co/AV78l1DWlm
Acute infection is the on-ramp. If you feed pigeons, they never leave, and they bring all of their friends. https://t.co/ojOgw3yJ1A
If you hop in a car and go out and run down an elderly person and kill them, saying they’ve ‘reached their time’, you’ll go to jail. Politicians can kill over 200,000 and carry on as if nothing has happened. What you get when the only accountability is votes. https://t.co/TAEIMiUXTT
Only catastrophe brings social progress. Look what the Black Death did to inequality in the 14th century. Humans are incapable of acting outside their own social status games of imitative rivalry. These platforms pour petrol on that same social mechanism. https://t.co/S3sqkmHbT2
If we take the ideas of economic politics at their word, Tournier shows that we’re on the right track. But those who promote it have hijacked it, for their own ends. We see it with Covid, how healthy populations are also good economies. Public health always meant that. https://t.co/mPaWatUYQR
“One of the great divisions of existence is that between people that absorb the learning that lies in books, and those that take nothing on trust and have to find out the hard way, through life’s lessons, for themselves.” Nicolas Rothwell
One of the mysteries of motoring is why hybrids have been allowed to wallow in the Greenie/Granny car category in the public mind for so long. Yes they save you a lot of fuel. But they do a lot more than that. In many ways they’re the ultimate power unit for all motoring. /1 https://t.co/dKsiRyp0Xq
Obviously a hybrid is a combination of a combustion engine (usually petrol - an ICE), and one or more electric motors. There are multiple ways to hybridise these two motor types, but it’s more important to understand why it’s done. /2
Hybrids have been around for years, and the public focus is almost entirely on their high fuel efficiency. What should have been said more years ago, is that this efficiency comes from targeting the strengths of each motor type, to compensate for the weaknesses in the other. /3
Here’s a torque/power curve for a standard petrol engine. Torque is how good the engine is at providing rotational motion (what we need to turn wheels), and power is how quickly that torque can be provided. Notice the high revs (RPM) at peak torque and power. /4 https://t.co/sDmqmbjU8j
You need to really rev an ICE to get power and torque out of it. That’s why they have gears, gears allow you to rev the engine the right amounts at different speeds, to access that sweet spot of power and torque. Try moving your car from a standing start in 3rd gear. /5
Here’s a torque/power curve for an electric motor. What should stand out is that they have maximum torque from a standing start, from 0 rpm. That’s why EVs are painfully quick in acceleration. What hybrids do is blend or hybridise these two torque/power profiles. /6 https://t.co/dde582FsUu
A hybrid will prioritise the high torque of the electric motor at lower speeds or when accelerating, allowing the vehicle to use a lot less energy to achieve the same acceleration. You don’t need to rev the guts out of it, as in a pure ICE. /7
It will use more of the ICE at higher speeds, where the electric motor’s torque drops off a bit. You can see how the two engine types have compensated beautifully for each other’s weaknesses. But it’s what this means in practice, when driving, that is stunning. /8
When you drive a well-designed hybrid, unlike in an ICE where you get that surge and wane of going up through the gears to get up to speed, as revs go up and down, in a hybrid there’s a beautifully continuous feed of maximised power and torque at every speed. /9
It’s like the car is gliding along the road. It’s continuous torque and power, no matter the driving conditions, perfectly targeted at the driving conditions of the time. It’s sublime, you’d never go back to a straight-ICE after driving a good hybrid, or I wouldn’t anyway. /10
It’s more ‘grunt’ than an ICE, the image of the pure-ICE as being the muscle, grunt option, and hybrids the granny fuel-sipping option, is just engineering BS. ICE engines are puny alone, again you have to rev the guts out of them to extract power and torque. /11
And then transmit that energy (the 20-30% that remains after the rest goes street out the exhaust as heat, unused) through a ridiculously complex series of mechanical translations between engine and wheels. Hybrids don’t need to bother with any of that. /12
Formula 1 cars are hybrids. They became much more powerful and fuel efficient (they don’t re-fuel during races now) when they switched to being hybrid. If this had been the public story about hybrids from the beginning, we’d all have been driving them years ago. /13
The fuel and therefore also money we’d have individually and nationally saved would have been astronomical. And the transition to full-EVs would have seemed a much smaller leap than what we’re facing today. /14
More power and torque (more ‘grunt’), much less fuel, and much more refined driving experience. A real missed opportunity. (I’ve obviously had to heavily simplify a lot of the engineering here. Happy for mechanical engineers to finesse the argument!) /end
I don’t ‘stand with’ anybody or anything. I refuse to play team sports with lives.
I’m amazed the basic social mechanisms of life go so unnoticed. How the exclusionary group dynamics of school replicate in the workplace, with even merit-based systems ruthlessly gamed for personal advantage, and widespread cliques. That’s ‘politics’ too. Even adult friendships.
'Everybody I went to Robbie Williams with has Covid!' [much laughter] 'I went to a funeral and everybody who was there now has Covid, if I start coughing you'll know why.' [more laughter] 'So, let's talk about the Christmas party'. Personal responsibility public heath.
Another KPI for the health of our democracy. https://t.co/eldCk2aaV5
This is bold public policy, at LAST. We haven't seen that in Australia for decades. https://t.co/OFDnIP3uGh
The idea of private money is another libertarian fantasy. A government is just people. Tax is the same people who are taxed, deciding how to distribute a country’s wealth. https://t.co/5ATd0UB1ov
The transformation of public health into ‘at least you’re not dead (yet)’ and ‘we still have spare beds’ is a disgrace that any health professional who associates themselves with should carry with them until the day accountability arrives. https://t.co/5I9gpHjSGV
The embarrassment to now be lagging the US in public health action. https://t.co/dCbIG9QaIc
Society is social groups. The anti-lockdown group is also often the anti-EV, anti-renewables group. One of the ways to really wind them up is to debunk the idea of the ‘grunt’ of ICEs. In reality combustion engines are puny, and always will be. Short thread. /1 https://t.co/kqiCfU8RvQ
Tweeted earlier this week that the power/torque curve of a combustion engine means you have to rev the crap out of it it get any appreciable torque and power. That’s why ICEs have gears, to allow you achieve high revs at every speed, to keep in that tiny sweet spot. /2 https://t.co/OkC3ZE6iZ6
And electric motors on the other hand give you instant full torque from a standing start. We all know now an EV will leave an ICE standing at the lights, in a sprint. ICEs are tweaked to try to counteract this, mostly by using devices to suck in extra air to aid combustion. /3 https://t.co/ShgCJGhBbq
It very quickly becomes something completely over the top (and expensive) and unsustainable for most peoples’ everyday motoring. So that’s power and torque, the underlying physical realities of the ‘grunt’ of a vehicle. EVs leave ICEs in the dust. And there’s more. /4
Because 70-80% of the energy that enters an ICE in the fuel goes straight out the exhaust. What power and torque an ICE does manage to muster is bought at the cost of filling them with enormous amounts of energy in fuel, nearly all of which is wasted. But there’s even more. /5
A big part of of the mythology of the grunt of ICEs is how they sound. The roar of a V8, as we say. Unfortunately that sound is literally the car farting. Exhaust gases. Now each to their own, but I don’t see us judging the sexiness of potential partners by how well they fart. /6 https://t.co/3oLJIdedPE
But this is what the grunt crowd do for ICEs. They’re fart-fetishists. They worship engines that are puny, and hugely gassy. That may be their type, who knows, the puny guy who farts a lot. Again, each to their own. /end
Really is ambitious public policy. One of the things the Hawke cabinet that Albanese so admires had was ministers who could drive major change in the face of major resistance. Bowen and Chalmers get a tick here. The other portfolios? Treading water at best. Keating sees it. https://t.co/UM2gF9jEvW
Society is social. Imitative rivalry, and status, in all things. Covid, climate change, housing, schooling - everything. Always follow the votes, what's popular. https://t.co/ZaGvb0rFOD
The role of travel journalism is to find places not already destroyed by tourism, so that the mob can descend upon them for selfies for their social media feeds, and destroy them as well. https://t.co/R7qWj8jdv4
Building public housing is the main solution to housing affordability. But restricting auctions to reverse auctions might take a lot of wind out of sails (sales) in the meantime. Some countries already do it.
Another feature of populism is the capacity to only pay attention to one issue at a time. (In reality one team sport game at a time.) For example, how’s the Ukraine war going?
We had years of dispatchable LNP slogans about ‘cheap, dispatchable coal’. Our prices are sky-high right now because of expensive coal. Meanwhile renewables flood the grid with better than free energy, in wholesale terms they’ll pay you to use it. https://t.co/PjBJIS2dSN
Pandemics are the on/off button for societies. All major catastrophes are. We talk of the health impacts, but there’s a much deeper social, cultural and psychological impact that I think goes unnoticed. The breaking apart of illusions of group life. /1
When not challenged by natural disasters or war, things that overwhelm our standard ways of doing and thinking about things, humans live happy social lives. All of their reference points are social, they imitate one another, and form rivalries with that imitation. /2
‘I want to be noticed and accepted’ is the most fundamental human act. It generates our social hierarchies, of status and imitation/emulation. As Paul McCartney said, the lure of fame is not about being admired, it’s about being accepted for who you are, socially. Affirmation. /3
As I Tweet about a lot, this explains 99% of human behaviour. The status games of imitation, where 95% of any group desperately imitate what the 5% of ‘influencers’ say and do. It happens at school, at work, in science, in politics. Everywhere. It’s not stupid either. /4
None of us would get a thing done without this mechanism, we’d have to work everything out for ourselves, rather than TRUST others with expertise to do it for us. Trust is the social glue all of this imitative rivalry generates. But it also means dangerous things. /5
Because if you can pervert the trust process, you have total control of groups, or of whole societies. If you can develop ways to generate cheap and easy trust, you’re on the road to total power. I used the example of Tupperware parties previously, the genius of that method. /6
Where peoples’ natural distrust at being sold things was broken down by having their friends, who they naturally trust, do the selling for the company. What social media has now done to our world is made all of it a giant Tupperware party. /7
Now not just kitchenware, but everything, including basic science, has had its existing longstanding mechanisms of trust replaced with a simple process of popularity, on these platforms. ‘Influencers’ can be found for any topic. Politics, engineering, pandemics…everything. /8
This is why I’m so dismissive of the value of social media, because it’s an assault on the trust mechanisms that hold our societies together. Without properly managed trust, societies collapse. Look how quickly cookers have damaged longstanding vaccination culture in Oz. /9
You won’t find an area of life that hasn’t been damaged by this shift. It’s still accelerating. And this brings me to the deepest damage I mentioned in Tweet 1 of this thread. What this means for us, as individuals. /10
When the essential operating systems of societies are trusted, while we get on with our lives, we can have happy social and intimate relationships, safe in the knowledge that even if we disagree with those closest to us, the most important stuff is still being done. /11
But strip away that trust and therefore that enormously diverse and distributed expertise, and suddenly it really matters who not just your friends but even those you love in the deepest ways, trust to guide their lives. Their beliefs suddenly can even kill you. /12
They may buy the slogans about Covid for example being a sniffle, and recklessly infect everybody they know, repeatedly. They become a real and present danger to you, every day. No more luxury of ‘each to their own’. Our beliefs and who we trust now impact lives. /13
Directly, and sometimes catastrophically. And you then can arrive at a point where the expression ‘we’re born alone, we live alone and we die alone’ suddenly becomes clear. It doesn’t mean we stop having these friends or loved ones. /14
But it destroys what was always an illusion, that we were bound together by common understanding. We’ve always disagreed, and in love we’ve never really understood the other person, nearly all of it is a projection. But we could avoid those truths, while societies were ok. /15
Now though those illusions are falling away. People are recognising, even within their closest social groupings, their families, that they are alone. That their social ties always were compromises, not magical fusions of different souls. And not to misunderstand here. /16
I’m not saying previously we all liked and loved one another, and now these social changes mean we don’t. I’m saying that what we’ve always called friendship and love was not what we thought it was, and the social reboot of the pandemic is making that visible. /17
‘You think you know a person’, often said when somebody does something totally unexpected, like dumps you in a relationship. But you never know a person. Everybody lies, gentle lies, for social harmony. Until the social is removed, like right now. The operating system. /18
Replaced by nothing but popularity. That’s what populism means. When the only measure of value, of anything, is popularity. How alone did many feel at school, watching these popularity games from the outside? I think that’s maybe 95% of us. That 95/5 split, in all groups. /19
We never leave school now, not an analogy. Our adult culture brought high school culture across to adult life, because it’s all those who went to school knew. That feeling of loneliness and brutal judgement by peers is now much of adult life too. /20
We stripped away the old grown-up institutions and replaced them with social media platforms, whose only currency is popularity. Likes. It’s where the majority now get even their most serious news, and understanding on all things. To end then, this is the deepest cut. /21
What do you do, when the TRUTH of something is now at odds with even the people closest to you? Do you let the friendships and relationships survive, and live truths you know to be false to keep the peace? Many here have talked about the agony of that choice. /22
It’s why this picture of Spinoza still resonates so strongly with me, during this pandemic and the collapse of much of our hard-won social infrastructure. This was Spinoza’s life, excommunicated from his own community for refusing to bend to truths he could not believe in. /23 https://t.co/ma0FfiTrF8
Spinoza always said that the only freedom is true understanding. He walked the talk. Like Archimedes run through by a Roman sword while refusing to stop work even during an invasion, he refused to succumb to social pressure that had gone awry. /24 https://t.co/HgIsFZjgAT
Do you let friendships and even relationships fall away, in this world of populism? I’ve let many friends go in this pandemic, their trust now captured by lunacy and a direct threat to me and my family. It’s a difficult time in history, but not unique. /end
The anti-government conservatives worldwide are trying to start culture wars over nuclear power. If they win government it’ll have to be big-government owned and operated. Nobody else will touch it, it’s far too expensive, and there are no SMRs anyway. The market has spoken. https://t.co/VNAsXtnmAJ
And again, conservatives who do this are snookering themselves. Nobody wants to invest in coal or nuclear plants. Their only alternative is governments building these plants, a ridiculous and punitively expensive fantasy. https://t.co/USReQfw03W
One of the reasons petrol and diesel vehicles have a large range was to prevent them having to visit service stations regularly. There are only 6500 servos in Oz, for a vehicle fleet of over 10 million. It would be far too expensive to have enough to re-fuel cars regularly. /1 https://t.co/nleqBRa77b
Also why range is more political spin with EVs than an actual practical issue. People have electricity already at home. A top-up model will replace a fill-up model, for most everyday consumer driving. Like topping up your petrol or diesel every day, with just a few litres. /2
Except of course you can’t do that for petrol or diesel, you have to go to a servo. But you can easily do it with electricity. Fast-charging stations will be mostly for long distance or other away-from-home trips. Slogans when unpacked are always empty. /end
It’s slowly dawning on more people that social media is the infrastructure of perpetual adolescent life. All human culture is the tension between playground and classroom. Social media has destroyed the classroom. https://t.co/RSForD1t7G
The world doesn’t run on information. It runs on relationships. Social relationships. On trust, on the people we trust to know different things. Replace that with popularity contests, such as elections and all of social media, and it’s game over for your society. https://t.co/wdzhLwIW1Z
Remembering an ex-PM saying we need to ‘live alongside’ the virus, and open our economy. Looks like Covid isn’t keeping to its lane. https://t.co/pNq9zyfyFX
Emergency Covid action which was said to be unsustainable really was only the slightest wealth redistribution, towards low and middle income earners. ‘The economy’ is code for the old distribution. Thus desperate efforts were made to end ‘lockdowns’, to rescue the economy. /1 https://t.co/mVN8Yo8Yom
This was existential fear by modern conservatives that the public sphere was reasserting itself, redistributing wealth, as it was originally designed to do. They’d spent 70 years trying to eliminate the entire public sphere, post-WW2. Thus the massive pushback. /end
Maybe we could use risk management now, rather than slogans. https://t.co/rvuAP5WS8q
I feel mixing thousands of students from all over the State right now was probably not smart. https://t.co/Dbmks02Gdh
There’s growing realisation that everything we see for both Covid and climate is really basic human social behaviour. Societies are not run on information, they’re run on relationships. https://t.co/ZKWfkZ7WLg
Dutton, like the UK Tories, is back on Stop the Boats, like a dog returning to its own vomit. Remember a time parties spent time in opposition to re-build policy platforms? Under populism that’s over. You just scattergun slogans, hoping to take the other side down. https://t.co/Rj5zZUjmAC
There is no ‘we’ now. The public was invented at a point in time, to fix a problem. Hierarchies always hated it, and have been dismantling it ever since. https://t.co/iyVj1rZQp8
All of modern populist culture is in this picture. The tension between playground and classroom, between group life driven by social status, and knowledge, doesn’t end with school. Populism destroys the classroom, our knowledge-based institutions. Social media is the accelerant. https://t.co/9PJrdSm4NB
‘We need to at least have a conversation about nuclear power’ is classic political strategy. The LNP doesn’t want nuclear power, it’s electoral suicide. But they want to sow seeds of doubt in peoples’ mind, and leverage that doubt for votes. That’s what they’re up to. /1 #auspol
It’s what they did for the referendum too, planted seeds of doubt. That’s all you have to do to win, in populist politics. Just make people uncertain, a feeling they hate, and then offer them the fake comfort of a ‘solution’ that apparently eases that feeling. /2
People always act socially. The facts of nuclear power make it easily the most ridiculous option to even consider for Australian electricity. But that’s irrelevant to a party that hasn’t written public policy in 30 years. It doesn’t even believe in the public as a thing. /3
When it wins it opens the doors of Treasury to its donors and chums, and when it loses it wrecks, to expedite access to the Treasury again. In opposition it does no reflection or new policy work, it just destabilises, hoping for quick and easy populist surges in votes. /4
All public policy replaced with quick, cheap and easy slogans. Nuclear power, like the referendum, is being seen by Dutton only as a way to get quick traction into the public mind. Miles behind in the polls after the last election, the LNP is looking for a quick way back. /5
‘Stop the Boats’ is back too, they’ll throw everything at it. Like the desperate Tories in the UK right now. And they can get away with this because under populism all that matters is who wins the votes. It doesn’t matter how they do it, if they get the votes, they win. /6
I saw somebody drunk on the slogans say yesterday that small modular reactors were worth thinking about, because we could have reactors ‘the size of a microwave oven’. How would that ever be a GOOD thing? One plus of nuclear currently being enormous plants is security. /7
You can at least put measures in place to control the operation. Imagine a world where every sociopathic loon could have a reactor in their own backyard. That’s progress how? But not to digress on the facts, because ‘having a conversation’ is how the LNP wins. /8
Everybody reporting on this has a responsibility to ask the hard questions now. To ask if these reactors even exist? To ask where they’ll go and where the waste will go? To ask what the costs will be, relative to using renewables instead? Not allow a fake ‘conversation’. /end
Australians use about 18 billion litres of fuel in their vehicles every year. Not difficult maths to multiply that by the current pump price to see the savings to the nation of shifting the national fleet to EVs. EVERY YEAR, not just one-off.
Many households can achieve the desired end state of lower (even zero) electricity prices, in 1-2 days. Just by having solar installed. I haven't paid a cent for electricity in over a year since I had mine installed. I've made money. /1
You're also often ahead in cash flow terms, even if you have to use finance. The rate you pay (and many offer interest-free) will still often mean that the money you're saving every week is greater than any repayment. So you're amazingly worse off if you don't install them! /2
Compare with the national strategy of replacing centralised generation with solar and wind farms, and then building new transmission lines to bring the generated power to buildings. That's a long lead time to bring household prices down. /3
We'll need new centralised generation and transmission, but we may need a lot less than we're currently projecting, if we start at the other end. After all a big part of the endgame here is to bring prices down for households and businesses. You can do that in 1-2 days. /end
For those looking at solar as an option, the new retailers that allow you to access wholesale electricity pricing can make a battery by itself a worthwhile investment, even without solar panels. Charge it up with cheap daytime wholesale electricity, to use at night.
Having a fun slogan-slaying day. Like 'renewables are heavily subsidised, that's why they're cheaper'. https://t.co/A4L3NDsh0P
I'll be back at work in a couple of days = I'll be back at work while still infectious. https://t.co/fQvs9TUxyv
And just on this, under the NSW Public Health Act, Covid is a Category 3 condition? Knowingly returning to work while likely still infectious, we should expect significant precautions will be in place? https://t.co/fQvs9TUxyv https://t.co/psYY11M6db
Many anti-EV/anti-renewables warriors make a lot of noise about the need for storage with electrification. But fossil fuels only appear ‘dispatchable’ because they use storage too. The energy is stored in the fuel. And two-thirds of it is wasted in use. https://t.co/ZFw8TlLQMJ
There wasn’t ever a time when elected leaders acted responsibly. The appearance of that was only ever the action of strong institutions, limiting their options. Institutions which in turn only came into existence in catastrophes like wars and plagues.
Another window into the fundamentally social world that is most of human life is the ‘selfie’. A selfie is a picture of you as *others* see you, not as you see you, except for occasionally in a mirror. But for many their self *is* their social profile. Individualism is a fantasy.
Many will remember this cringeworthy press conference, where the CHO was allowed out for a brief chat, with deeply uncomfortable body language from the alpha political males behind her. Maybe one for the Premier to contemplate from his sick bed. https://t.co/TG0mIfdAIM
Once you see that all human life is social, and that the root of that social life is imitation, you can't unsee it. But the reason all social life (and thus pretty much all of life) is about people copying other people is counter-intuitive. It's because we're all different. /1 https://t.co/jn0sALPC56
If we were all the same, we wouldn't need to imitate one another, we'd all be doing exactly the same things. It was Gabriel Tarde who dared to be one of the only thinkers to ask - what if the root of all things is difference, rather than identity? /2
Most of our beliefs and knowledge revolve around some form of identity. A = B. 'This collection of things is actually identical to this one X'. Etc. Tarde asked what the world would like like if you didn't do that, if you allowed all things to be irreducibly different. /3
And that's when he realised the fundamental role of imitation. (Not just amongst humans, but in matter itself, a much bigger topic.) To use humans as the example, if we are all fundamentally different, the only way we have to create any order is to imitate. /4
Despite the prejudice we tend to have that to imitate or copy is to be derivative, Tarde saw that we do it because it's the only way you can respect each thing's individual unique character, while allowing it to work with others. Anything else is 'A=B', reductive. /5
'Imitation is the highest form of flattery' sort of captures his insight. To imitate is to retain your own individual sovereignty of self, but allow it to emulate what somebody else is doing, to create a pattern that extends beyond either individual alone. It's a creative act. /6
Again, the alternative is to say 'sorry, you're just a derivative of something else, an automaton whose essence is somewhere else'. This book looked at this from the other direction, exploring how everybody lies, all of the time. But it's not so much that they're lying. /7 https://t.co/PPEY4mkQ0U
They're imitating. Meaning they're pretending to be like somebody else, while recognising deep down that they're not. To create order, to create agreement. I've Tweeted a lot about how this imitation then becomes a rivalry, to create status hierarchies. Team sports. /8
A competition inevitably begins, to decide who or what will be the model to imitate. Which fashion, which idea, which trend, which 'influencer'. Humans never act individually, even those who embrace individualism are as fanatically social as everybody else. /9
They just want their team to be the winning team. To be what everybody else imitates. No politics of individualism ever acts in that way, amongst its fans. They're as hierarchical as anybody else, and desperately keen to impose restrictions on you, who aren't on their team. /10
Love and relationships the same, we imitate one another in subtle and not-so-subtle ways, until sometimes a day is reached where the charade becomes obvious. Where the person you thought you were closest to in the whole world suddenly seems a total stranger. /11 https://t.co/bblBzwtoUb
Why does this matter? It matters because every part of human life uses this same mechanism. Love, politics, work, family, friendship, science. All of it. All of it is about imitation. Where roughly 5% of people provide the model for 95% of others to copy and follow. /12
That 95% aren't zombies, they still choose who they want to imitate/emulate. Their loyalty can shift in seconds, as we see in fashions and fads. Right now 95% are imitating 'living with the virus', because it's what nearly everybody else is doing. Nothing to do with facts. /13
Or misinformation or disinformation. Humans don't use information to decide how to act, they use social rules about who they trust, to imitate. If everybody is doing one thing, that will be the reality. 95% of people don't want to stand out from the crowd. /14
That protects societies too, prevents us needing to reinvent civilisation every day. To figure everything out for our individual selves. We trust others to do all the things we don't have time to do ourselves. I wrote this thread to continue a suggested shift in approach. /15
To recognise that change comes from imitation, and if you want people to act and think differently, flooding them with any amount of information is useless. You need to provide them with something to imitate, to emulate. To persuade, to seduce. /16
That's what others who are winning already do, frame things in ways that makes even the most ludicrous behaviour and ideas something others will want to follow. Good people far too often just assume their good ideas will carry the day by themselves. /end https://t.co/i27aFh36KV
I continue to advocate strongly to all the anti-EV and anti-renewables crowd to invest heavily using their own money, in ICEs and coal- and nuclear-powered electricity. Put their money where their mouths are. https://t.co/uVozr3o96m
The Project is still trying to go dumber, to rescue the ratings. Host telling Norman Swan that many have ‘vaccine fatigue’. Ffs, how does rocking up for 10 minutes to get a needle ‘fatigue’ you?
I love the stories that show legacy companies struggling to adjust to a fundamental shift, sold as evidence the shift isn’t happening. Like Kodak pushing on with film over digital, all the way to bankruptcy. https://t.co/PO3naox0ow
This one angers me. Australia, a public health beacon pre-pandemic, led by anti-government ideologues who made us buy our own tests, in a pandemic! All while prioritising massive tax cuts to the top end of the income distribution. #auspol https://t.co/rkwJsJ1QgE
Australia’s healthcare costs during the pandemic were dramatically lower than comparative countries, but also we had much better health outcomes. That’s because we used public health (for a while), rather than just dump the infected on the healthcare system. Now that’s reversing. https://t.co/sMbkSviOGM
‘Look after yourselves’, is there any more graphic illustration of the train wreck public health now is in Australia? Of the substitution of public health with political ideology? #auspol https://t.co/ucqsggUIHd
Those still confident elections are a valuable tool for democracy only need to look to NZ. Where several years of sensible governance now flipped completely back over to the regulatory capture of small government ideologues, funnelling public health money into tax cuts. https://t.co/i8er4sn9YQ
Work colleague on their third Covid infection, very sick. And confused, after two 'mild' earlier infections. Probably thought they were getting some hybrid immunity. I might try and sell them a used car.
Public health is being dismantled by the same people and for the same reasons as public schooling, public electricity, public water, public banking, public transport, public libraries and public roads. The inaction on Covid is a late addition to a long destruction.
The engineering Tesla is doing is extraordinary. A longer video here from Jay Leno investigating the Tesla semi. Worth watching to hear all of the thought and features that have gone into this thing, it could revolutionise heavy transport. h/t @elonmusk https://t.co/NWSoeDKz9t
A real insight into how societies are just social. Nearly all Australians won't benefit from these cuts. But politicians still fear ditching them, because *socially* people see themselves as nascent millionaires. They imitate and emulate the rich. https://t.co/2xBrvM9A11
There is no deeper form of violation to the human body than infection. It can even mess with your DNA.
All social evolution: 1) Catastrophe (natural or human made) 2) Institution invented to manage if it ever happens again 3) Institution governs human behaviour, sometimes for generations 4) Absence of further catastrophe makes institution seem like ‘red tape’ /1
5) Eventually nobody alive remembers why the institution was put there 6) Institution dismantled in the name of ‘freedom’ 7) Catastrophe re-emerges. Go to 1). Institutions are the suffering of the past acting in the present. /end
From this I take that 'authoritarian' States are way in the lead, unless they own fuck-tonnes of oil, gas and coal. Meanwhile democracies count the angels on the heads of pins, on social media. https://t.co/ji4UePLl79
Heart disease showed an epidemic pattern in the 20th century. Prior to that time it was an uncommon cause of death. Some attribute this to smoking, though the timelines don't really align, you'd expect significant lag between the curves. Chronic infection seems more likely. https://t.co/mz1KE02yx1
As always, reality and social media are light years apart. In this case, on EVs. https://t.co/Usy1VxHTru
We have a vax-only pandemic strategy where most people don’t qualify for vaccines. And we’re targeting only severe disease presentations and deaths, and have had record numbers of both.
At face value this could seem an argument that hybrid immunity is working. But as Karen’s group point out, this isn’t a good news Covid story, more a good news flu and dementia story. https://t.co/VjkKQHVkvN
Living with Covid doesn’t mean allowing people to catch it. Living with venomous snakes and spiders in Australia has never meant encouraging people to get bitten.
The UK’s Tories are even worse than our National Cabinet. But their institutions are stronger, all the senior players now being grilled in the dock over the Covid debacle there. Here minimising loons think the pathetic non-inquiry we’re having should focus on doing even less. https://t.co/GujdqAwCnP
I see a new spin-slogan word emerging from COP28. ‘Pragmatism’. Pragmatic use of fossil fuels. Like balanced infection with Covid. It actually means the same thing in both cases - do nothing.
Tesla is smart because it understands a big part of getting a transition to EVs will be breaking a lot of the old ICE macho fantasies. It’s a social much more than a technological change. Its stunts are designed to focus on social barriers. https://t.co/0YbCiKcAH5
The internal combustion engine is rubbish technology, and always has been. Not only grossly and inescapably inefficient, but filthy and noisy, destroying our air quality and overwhelming all other sounds. And ridiculously complex. Michel Serres saw it. https://t.co/jtniwoMxSi