The Iranian protests have already been shoehorned into our usual ‘people power’ narratives. (Social media…

The Iranian protests have already been shoehorned into our usual ‘people power’ narratives. (Social media loves that narrative, it’s what it deludes itself that it’s doing every day.) Revolutions come from rivalry between existing elites. Coupled to… 1/2

…widespread immiseration of ordinary people, whose anger is than recruited by the rival elites. That model has been found by Turchin’s work to repeat throughout history. It is more than likely the real story of these uprisings too. Identify the elites, that’s the key. /end