Thanks to @GosiaGasperoPhD for this. The problem we’ve had selling this message I think is that Covid…

Thanks to @GosiaGasperoPhD for this. The problem we’ve had selling this message I think is that Covid minimisers have successfully created an impression that Covid is everywhere, always. So life as we know it has to be shut down to beat it. /1 https://t.co/2L5jWsCgCB

My suggested shift in framing, which I think matches the actual reality, is that Covid looks more like this. In most places, R=almost zero, much of the time. But in some ‘superspreading’ places, it’s > 1. The infection hubs, like schools. /2 https://t.co/OTNf7qU874

Here are the competing narratives. “Covid is everywhere, we can’t beat it without fighting it everywhere, all the time (i.e. shutting society down)”. OR “Covid is hardly anywhere, except in some concentrated breeding hubs. We just need to do something, there, to slow it.” /3

Narrative 2 matches the overdispersed, networked nature of Covid infection. Narrative 1 is the politicised Covid minimisation narrative designed to stop all action. Narrative 1 is actually nothing to do with Covid. It’s really an anti-government narrative. /4

Used interchangeably everywhere the anti-government kidults want to shut public action down. They just re-ran their climate change script, for Covid. Then ‘flooded the zone with shit’ with bogus whackidemiology, to make us argue about ‘the science’. /5

EXACTLY what they’ve been doing with climate change for decades. We’re STILL arguing the science, for Covid. That’s what they want us to do. They know it bogs everything down in complete inaction. /6

We’re bringing a knife to a gun fight. Defeating Covid is a *specific*, relatively small targeted task. Ventilate schools. That’s all. Put the same HVAC in schools as other major public and private buildings have. I reckon that might just get Rt < 1, in an ongoing way. /end