We don’t need to stop Covid. We just need to slow it, and keep it slow. Maths does the rest. As exponentially…
We don’t need to stop Covid.
We just need to slow it, and keep it slow.
Maths does the rest. As exponentially fast as it grows, it dies.
Politics makes us believe we have to do everything, or nothing. /1 https://t.co/AsZZvQTSDB
But we just need to do SOMETHING. To slow it.
It’s built into the reality of viruses that they will fall over by themselves, if we just slow them down.
Reality does most of the work for us. Targeted quite minor things will do all the slowing that’s needed. /2 https://t.co/ppmfAspDMy
Vaccines that are just good enough. Air that is just clean enough (not sterile) in places we gather in number and variety, like schools.
All quite simple, inoffensive things. To be done calmly. Get that Rt < 1 and Covid is history. /3 https://t.co/nlJ2zitkoy
We do this multiple times every year, right now in fact. It’s what causes our waves of Covid.
The virus IS slowed, multiple times per year. We just don’t maintain the slowing. Because politics makes us think in absolutes. /4 https://t.co/BOWTrGNDMd
Telling us we can’t stop Covid because it’s too hard. But we don’t NEED to stop Covid.
We just need to slow it. And keep it slow. Doing simple, targeted things. We don’t have to shut society down. /5 https://t.co/IadFbc4iwF
That’s the Henny Penny of Infinite Covid minimisation, persuading us that if we don’t everything, we should do nothing.
But reality was already going to kill Covid for us. We just needed to do something, to slow it.
Exponential decay will do the rest. Fast. /6 https://t.co/Dq6l2G5fId
The repeated epidemic waves we’re experiencing are reality trying to do this for us.
Life doesn’t ever allow any organism to win, all of the time. Every fresh new wave is met by reality, and suppressed. /7 https://t.co/P8F2aFkOYj
But we keep breeding the virus. By doing nothing. If we did something, we’d help reality flatten that curve for good.
Social media societies exhaust themselves with absolutes. Zero Covid or Infinite Covid! Actually, we just need to have a bit less Covid. By doing something. /8 https://t.co/yA1yv8osMI
Reality will take care of the rest. It will give us the blue line.
Thanks to @Globalbiosec for this final diagram, still too often ignored after more than 4 years. /end https://t.co/79wWVekwxR
