Prevalence data from the UK. Infections. This is what we need to see to determine if the pandemic is waning,…

Prevalence data from the UK. Infections. This is what we need to see to determine if the pandemic is waning, pandemics = number of infections. This looks promising, though it’s sampling, not widespread testing. But promising. /1 https://t.co/Cy4Xna4WHf

Zooming out gives a little more perspective. Certainly an improvement from the Omicron peaks. But only recently lower infection rates than the original Wuhan-strain waves. And as with the Omicron waves, no indication yet if it’s just an epidemic pattern, rather than decline. /2 https://t.co/yhfxVNQjMQ

Christina Pagel posted these, together with commentary. This together with declining hospitalisations there, both over their winter, will give support to the ideas of hybrid immunity. But again could also just be an entrenched epidemic infection pattern. /end https://t.co/Qa95UMAGS2