Decoupling. From mid-2021, UK cases settled into a new non-zero baseline. But deaths followed, and have also…

Decoupling. From mid-2021, UK cases settled into a new non-zero baseline. But deaths followed, and have also settled into an ‘endemic’ 3-figure state. Omicron then caused a rise in cases, and deaths followed. There’s no decoupling so far, more a shift of baseline. /1 https://t.co/Cm9XIzKp1u

This is also dependent on the non-waning of the 3rd vaccine dose. Omicron broke VE against transmission, but current vaccines also only slowed deaths, they didn’t decouple them from cases. Waiting now to see if Oz settles into the new endemic case and death pattern as well. 2/2