15 April

The flipside way of looking at how the vaccine 'risk' is being (badly) described. Your chances of winning the lottery are described as about 1 in 50 million. Or 0.000002%. However that's not true. Your chances of winning the lottery are either zero, a non-winning ticket, or 100%, a winning ticket. Nobody has a chance of 0.00002% of winning. 0.000002% of the *population* will win. A population measure, not individual. Your chances of getting a blood clot from the vaccines is either zero, if you don't get one, or 100%, if you do. How do you know if you're the zero or 100? You don't. Nobody does, until they figure out the specific reason it happens. But nobody's chance of getting a clot is the 0.000125% that is being quoted in the media.