20 May

There’s one simple logic to all elections I think. It’s not about personalities, or even about policies. We live in a representative democracy. We delegate problems to our representatives to solve. We don’t want to deal with them, we pay them to do that. Governments change when those problems come back into our lives, when they start to leak out of politics. If you want to know if a government is about to change, sense whether people feel political problems are leaking into their personal lives. If they are, the government is toast.