29 August

This incorporates vaccinations into projections. I think the reduction in transmission used in this model (80% for a double-vaccinated person) is way too optimistic. But it gives a way of looking at possible futures. Even at 80% reduction, this is a lethal mess. And the the Premier today, again, lied about the Doherty Report and their 70% and 80% numbers. Those numbers (and the whole Doherty model) now don’t apply to NSW, its contact tracing is broken.